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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 August 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 12
  3. 13
  4. 24
  5. 29
  6. 38
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 40 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-07-28All recent draws2012-08-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 12 13 24 29 38 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

106times
125times
1312times
248times
29

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-04

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 202lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$590.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$584.0K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$638.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

1time
385times

Every number was expected about that many times after 39 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 13, 24) with the draw of 28 April 2012 — its closest relative in 39 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 14 by chanceNZ$27,915
  • Match 5423≈ 456 by chanceNZ$686
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,138≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$61.00
  • Match 417,883≈ 18k by chanceNZ$33.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,335≈ 24k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,883 winners, 2% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$27,915
    Match 5423NZ$686
    Match 4 + Bonus1,138NZ$61.00
    Match 417,883NZ$33.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,335NZ$24.00