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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 July 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 8
  4. 9
  5. 18
  6. 25
  7. 36

JackpotNZ$1,000,002

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 39 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-07-21All recent draws2012-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 8 9 18 25 + 3629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours91th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

26times
79times
88times
96times
18

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-28

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.7Mto 47k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 187lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 421%NZ$579.4K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$551.7K
  • 3 other tiers22%NZ$617.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

6times
252times

Every number was expected about that many times after 38 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 7, 9) with the draw of 11 February 2012 — its closest relative in 38 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 73% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

69

The numbers add up to 69 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 8–9. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus11≈ 14 by chanceNZ$24,535
  • Match 5543≈ 453 by chanceNZ$517
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,132≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$59.00
  • Match 422,286≈ 18k by chanceNZ$26.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,989≈ 24k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 22,286 winners, 23% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus11NZ$24,535
    Match 5543NZ$517
    Match 4 + Bonus1,132NZ$59.00
    Match 422,286NZ$26.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,989NZ$24.00