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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 February 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 33
  5. 34
  6. 38
  7. 35

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 14 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-01-28All recent draws2012-02-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 23 26 33 34 38 + 3529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd50th
  • low1th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

212times
232times
262times
333times
34

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-04

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.9Mto 41k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 201lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 516%NZ$306.2K
  • Match 433%NZ$625.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$613.4K
  • 2 other tiers19%NZ$367.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
383times

Every number was expected about that many times after 13 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (23, 33, 38) with the draw of 26 November 2011 — its closest relative in 13 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 36% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 January 2012): 33 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 13 by chanceNZ$22,655
  • Match 5368≈ 426 by chanceNZ$832
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,037≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$70.00
  • Match 416,907≈ 17k by chanceNZ$37.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,720≈ 23k by chanceNZ$27.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,037 winners, 3% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$22,655
    Match 5368NZ$832
    Match 4 + Bonus1,037NZ$70.00
    Match 416,907NZ$37.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,720NZ$27.00