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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 February 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 9
  4. 17
  5. 21
  6. 33
  7. 29

JackpotNZ$2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 15 of 1,356 under them

← 2012-02-04All recent draws2012-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 9 17 21 33 + 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd95th
  • low79th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

22times
72times
91time
171time
21

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-11

  • Lines in play≈ 10Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$4.0Mto 54k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 193lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.7

Where the money went

  • Match 650%NZ$2.0M
  • Match 416%NZ$647.7K
  • Match 3 + Bonus16%NZ$626.5K
  • 3 other tiers18%NZ$699.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

3times
334times

Every number was expected about that many times after 14 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (21, 33) with the draw of 4 February 2012 — its closest relative in 14 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 February 2012): 21, 33 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 16 by chanceNZ$17,957
  • Match 5643≈ 534 by chanceNZ$494
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,436≈ 1.3k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 423,133≈ 21k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus28,479≈ 28k by chanceNZ$22.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 5 — 643 winners, 20% more than the 534 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$17,957
    Match 5643NZ$494
    Match 4 + Bonus1,436NZ$53.00
    Match 423,133NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus28,479NZ$22.00