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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 28 January 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 16
  4. 33
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 26

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 13 of 1,355 under them

← 2012-01-21All recent draws2012-02-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 16 33 35 40 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd21th
  • low50th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

61time
83times
161time
332times
35

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-28

  • Lines in play≈ 9.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.9Mto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 205lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 2.3

Where the money went

  • Match 635%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$615.3K
  • Match 3 + Bonus21%NZ$591.5K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$654.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 2.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

2times
402times

Every number was expected about that many times after 12 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 35, 40) with the draw of 7 January 2012 — its closest relative in 12 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 33% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 January 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus13≈ 14 by chanceNZ$21,999
  • Match 5409≈ 462 by chanceNZ$727
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,112≈ 1.2k by chanceNZ$64.00
  • Match 417,580≈ 18k by chanceNZ$35.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus24,646≈ 25k by chanceNZ$24.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 17,580 winners, 5% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus13NZ$21,999
    Match 5409NZ$727
    Match 4 + Bonus1,112NZ$64.00
    Match 417,580NZ$35.00
    Match 3 + Bonus24,646NZ$24.00