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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 21 January 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 7
  4. 13
  5. 20
  6. 38
  7. 39

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 12 of 1,358 under them

← 2012-01-14All recent draws2012-01-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 7 13 20 38 + 3929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd50th
  • low95th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread92th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 2 of each

12times
42times
71time
134times
20

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-21

  • Lines in play≈ 8.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.8Mto 44k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 188lines took a prize
  • Match 61 winnerchance said 2.2

Where the money went

  • Match 636%NZ$1M
  • Match 421%NZ$595.1K
  • Match 3 + Bonus20%NZ$571K
  • 3 other tiers23%NZ$639.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 61≈ 2.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

0times
382times

Every number was expected about that many times after 11 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 6 numbers (4, 13) with the draw of 31 December 2011 — its closest relative in 11 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 January 2012): 1 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus9≈ 13 by chanceNZ$31,095
  • Match 5464≈ 428 by chanceNZ$627
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,031≈ 1.1k by chanceNZ$67.00
  • Match 419,836≈ 17k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus22,838≈ 23k by chanceNZ$25.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 19,836 winners, 16% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 61NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus9NZ$31,095
    Match 5464NZ$627
    Match 4 + Bonus1,031NZ$67.00
    Match 419,836NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus22,838NZ$25.00