Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
In Lotto under the 5/90 · since Oct 2025 rules — 113 draws, 5 from 1–90.
Drawn 5 times in 113 draws against 6.3 expected, −0.52σ. Each draw is independent: after 33 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 5 times in 113 draws · average wait 18.5 draws · longest completed wait 28 · waiting 33 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Sort a draw and 20 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.2 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
Never drawn alongside 69 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 71 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 20 is picked about 1.28× as often as an indifferent choice — 13th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 20 →
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 20 is drawn with probability 5/90 tonight whatever it did last week.
| 2025-10-21 | — | 3rd | 1518202149 |