Number 10

In Lotto under the 5/90 · since Oct 2025 rules — 113 draws, 5 from 1–90.

11times drawn · chance expected 6 +1.94σ

5draws waiting · a wait this long: 80% for any number

10.7average wait between appearances · chance says 18.0

26longest completed wait · 94% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 11 times in 113 draws against 6.3 expected, +1.94σ. Each draw is independent: after 5 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 11 times in 113 draws · average wait 10.7 draws · longest completed wait 26 · waiting 5 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest6 · chance 7.1
2nd smallest2 · chance 3.3
3rd smallest3 · chance 0.5
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 0.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

77 1 6 7 28 33

Never drawn alongside 54 of the other 89 numbers; chance expects about 54 such strangers by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 90. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-29	20	2nd	6 10 18 44 75
2026-08-17	4	1st	10 12 44 77 80
2026-08-08	21	3rd	1 6 10 49 77
2026-07-02	3	3rd	1 7 10 27 47

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/90 tonight whatever it did last week.