Number 4

In Lotto under the 6/47 + 1/47 · since Oct 2015 rules — 1,150 draws, 6 from 1–47.

129times drawn · chance expected 147 −1.57σ

7draws waiting · a wait this long: 44% for any number

8.9average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

50longest completed wait · 15% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 129 times in 1,150 draws against 146.8 expected, −1.57σ. Each draw is independent: after 7 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday. It has also come out as the bonus ball 17 times, counted separately.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 129 times in 1,150 draws · average wait 8.9 draws · longest completed wait 50 · waiting 7 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest96 · chance 90.6
2nd smallest32 · chance 34.8
3rd smallest1 · chance 3.5
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0
6th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

27 5 42 16 25 35

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 46 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 47. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-16	50	1st	4 7 19 20 35 42
2026-03-25	13	1st	4 6 8 19 22 27
2026-02-07	2	1st	4 5 19 21 32 35
2026-01-31	17	2nd	1 4

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 6/47 tonight whatever it did last week.

2024-04-24	4	2nd	2 4 13 16 19 32
2024-04-10	1	1st	4 5 6 14 32 34
2024-04-06	1	1st	4 8 9 22 27 45
2024-04-03	13	2nd	1 4 5 6 13 17
2024-02-17	2	1st	4 31 35 39 41 44
2024-02-10	7	1st	4 16 22 28 39 44
2024-01-17	16	2nd	3 4 12 13 25 29
2023-11-22	1	2nd	3 4 23 30 31 43
2023-11-18	29	1st	4 11 19 22 32 42
2023-08-09	10	1st	4 11 17 18 25 32
2023-07-05	4	1st	4 14 15 18 32 34
2023-06-21	3	1st	4 8 13 23 28 38
2023-06-10	16	1st	4 5 21 26 27 34
2023-04-15	12	2nd	1 4 7 12 18 32
2023-03-04	2	2nd	3 4 8 40 41 44
2023-02-25	8	1st	4 6 14 20 22 33
2023-01-28	4	1st	4 17 30 34 38 45
2023-01-14	6	1st	4 20 23 26 35 42
2022-12-24	5	1st	4 18 21 30 41 45
2022-12-07	6	1st	4 8 11 26 38 46
2022-11-16	17	1st	4 10 35 36 38 43
2022-09-17	6	1st	4 8 16 29 37 44
2022-08-27	20	1st	4 15 22 25 35 43
2022-06-18	9	1st	4 16 21 27 45 47
2022-05-18	11	1st	4 13 30 40 45 47
2022-04-09	4	1st	4 7 17 24 29 42
2022-03-26	22	2nd	1 4 5 27 36 45
2022-01-08	2	1st	4 8 19 35 36 41
2022-01-01	5	1st	4 5 21 24 25 41
2021-12-15	24	1st	4 10 21 27 41 42
2021-09-22	6	1st	4 11 16 21 36 40
2021-09-01	1	1st	4 11 12 18 25 39
2021-08-28	10	1st	4 14 25 27 42 45
2021-07-24	5	1st	4 12 25 26 27 44
2021-07-07	4	1st	4 18 26 30 31 37
2021-06-23	13	2nd	1 4 15 29 38 40
2021-05-08	2	2nd	2 4 14 21 41 42
2021-05-01	5	2nd	1 4 16 23 26 35
2021-04-14	1	1st	4 14 20 23 27 37
2021-04-10	5	1st	4 11 18 21 33 35
2021-03-24	1	1st	4 17 23 37 40 44
2021-03-20	33	1st	4 27 37 43 44 46
2020-11-25	6	2nd	1 4 16 20 28 36
2020-11-04	6	1st	4 20 30 31 34 38
2020-10-14	2	1st	4 24 30 38 39 42
2020-10-07	2	1st	4 9 13 22 44 47
2020-09-30	4	2nd	3 4 7 14 18 47
2020-09-16	7	1st	4 7 10 37 38 45
2020-08-22	6	1st	4 5 12 15 16 31
2020-08-01	30	1st	4 14 23 27 33 38
2020-04-18	5	1st	4 9 15 27 29 34
2020-04-01	3	1st	4 10 14 15 29 43
2020-03-21	1	1st	4 5 7 16 43 47
2020-03-18	10	1st	4 8 14 15 31 34
2020-02-12	7	2nd	2 4 10 17 20 41
2020-01-18	5	1st	4 13 16 23 33 42
2020-01-01	11	1st	4 5 23 30 42 47
2019-11-23	4	1st	4 15 20 21 34 39
2019-11-09	30	2nd	3 4 15 26 27 47
2019-07-27	4	1st	4 29 30 33 40 42
2019-07-13	1	1st	4 8 23 25 34 35
2019-07-10	5	1st	4 7 26 33 35 38
2019-06-22	22	2nd	3 4 19 32 39 46
2019-04-06	16	1st	4 9 10 34 35 46
2019-02-09	1	1st	4 9 12 14 17 20
2019-02-06	2	2nd	3 4 8 10 11 46
2019-01-30	21	1st	4 6 16 34 38 39
2018-11-17	24	2nd	3 4 20 21 37 42
2018-08-25	4	1st	4 9 16 17 21 41
2018-08-11	2	1st	4 22 30 37 45 47
2018-08-04	12	2nd	3 4 5 19 26 43
2018-06-23	22	1st	4 6 12 20 40 43
2018-04-07	6	1st	4 18 30 35 40 45
2018-03-17	10	1st	4 10 13 22 25 31
2018-02-10	7	1st	4 6 16 18 27 39
2018-01-17	14	2nd	1 4 25 31 32 38
2017-11-29	1	2nd	1 4 5 16 39 47
2017-11-25	3	1st	4 16 18 24 32 35
2017-11-15	13	1st	4 7 17 19 27 34
2017-09-30	4	1st	4 6 16 18 26 32
2017-09-16	3	3rd	1 2 4 22 38 40
2017-09-06	26	2nd	1 4 5 6 18 47
2017-06-07	7	1st	4 9 17 20 23 33
2017-05-13	14	1st	4 16 33 39 43 47
2017-03-25	20	2nd	1 4 6 16 18 27
2017-01-14	10	2nd	2 4 11 22 25 34
2016-12-10	17	1st	4 5 17 25 36 41
2016-10-12	2	1st	4 6 9 20 29 45
2016-10-05	20	1st	4 17 22 40 42 46
2016-07-27	6	2nd	2 4 5 27 40 47
2016-07-06	1	1st	4 5 9 12 29 38
2016-07-02	2	1st	4 11 24 40 42 43
2016-06-25	2	2nd	1 4 27 29 42 45
2016-06-18	4	1st	4 6 15 21 22 42
2016-06-04	5	1st	4 32 34 35 43 47
2016-05-18	3	1st	4 8 12 15 25 40
2016-05-07	5	1st	4 5 11 17 34 42
2016-04-20	7	1st	4 5 7 14 18 31
2016-03-26	3	1st	4 8 20 23 29 41
2016-03-16	2	1st	4 14 21 28 35 36
2016-03-09	9	1st	4 6 12 13 15 31
2016-02-06	1	2nd	3 4 14 25 42 45
2016-02-03	16	2nd	1 4 7 14 15 42
2015-12-09	15	2nd	1 4 12 31 37 39
2015-10-17	—	1st	4 7 19 22 25 41