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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 25 February 2012

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 26
  5. 35
  6. 40
  7. 7

Jackpot€3,122,360

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015draw 225 of 601 under them

← 2012-02-22All recent draws2012-02-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 11 19 26 35 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

Lotto was a 6/45 + 1/45 · Jan 2010 – Oct 2015 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 224 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

435times
1137times
1923times
2629times
3522times
4034times

Every number was expected about that many times after 224 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 26, 40) with the draw of 11 January 2012 — its closest relative in 224 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 February 2012): 11 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

135

The numbers add up to 135 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-25

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€685.6Kto 47k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball29%€200K
  • Match 417%€118.4K
  • Match 328%€190.6K
  • 3 other tiers26%€176.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.23 by chance€3,122,360
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball8≈ 1.4 by chance€25,000
  3. Match 552≈ 52 by chance€1,466
  4. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball373≈ 129 by chance€51.00
  5. Match 42,368≈ 2.4k by chance€50.00
  6. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball6,257≈ 3.2k by chance€13.00
  7. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 29k by chance€3.00
  8. Match 338,113≈ 38k by chance€5.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball0€3.00
Match 338,113€5.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball6,257€13.00
Match 42,368€50.00
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball373€51.00
Match 552€1,466
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball8€25,000
Match 60€3,122,360