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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 23 August 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 11
  4. 20
  5. 33
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,617 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-08-21All recent draws2024-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 11 20 33 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 335 of each

5330times
6348times
11342times
20332times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£564.8Kto 97k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£118.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£175.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£118.2K
  • 4 other tiers27%£152.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

332times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

13206times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,616 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 6, 11, 20) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 February 2021 — its closest relative in 2,616 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2024): 6 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4374≈ 313 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball847≈ 794 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,175≈ 8.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,886≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,141≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,398≈ 39k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,886 winners, 15% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,398£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,141£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,175£10.00
    Match 311,886£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball847£20.00
    Match 4374£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000