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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 16 August 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 13
  3. 29
  4. 30
  5. 33
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,613 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-08-14All recent draws2024-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 13 29 30 33 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd89th
  • low31th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 335 of each

9312times
13330times
29347times
30369times
33

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£548.9Kto 93k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£108.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£168.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£111.3K
  • 5 other tiers29%£161.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

331times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each

13204times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,612 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 13, 29, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 May 2013 — its closest relative in 2,612 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4311≈ 295 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball973≈ 748 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,673≈ 8.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,813≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,682≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,098≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 973 winners, 30% more than the 748 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,098£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33,682£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,673£10.00
    Match 310,813£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball973£20.00
    Match 4311£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball35£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000