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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 4 October 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 23
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 43% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,432 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-10-03All recent draws2023-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 12 15 21 23 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap4th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 312 of each

7321times
12283times
15313times
21320times
23

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-04

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£608.5Kto 95k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£142.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26%£160.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£113.7K
  • 5 other tiers32%£191.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

303times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each

14176times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,431 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 15, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 May 2023 — its closest relative in 2,431 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 56≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4479≈ 301 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball880≈ 764 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,138≈ 8.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,236≈ 9.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,121≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,893≈ 38k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,236 winners, 43% more than the 9.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,893£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32,121£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,138£10.00
    Match 314,236£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball880£20.00
    Match 4479£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 56£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000