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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 3 October 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 19
  4. 27
  5. 36
  6. 3

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,431 of 3,063 under them

← 2023-09-30All recent draws2023-10-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 19 27 36 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 312 of each

1307times
6332times
19321times
27309times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£476.0Kto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£91.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£151.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£112.4K
  • 4 other tiers25%£120.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

293times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each

3197times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,430 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 6, 27, 36) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 June 2015 — its closest relative in 2,430 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4242≈ 297 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball707≈ 755 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,670≈ 8.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,147≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,332≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,450≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,147 winners, 7% fewer than the 9.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,450£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,332£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,670£10.00
    Match 39,147£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball707£20.00
    Match 4242£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000