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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 9 August 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 7
  3. 11
  4. 22
  5. 24
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 30% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,400 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-08-08All recent draws2023-08-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 7 11 22 24 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 308 of each

1303times
7317times
11309times
22321times
24

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-09

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.2Mto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball42%£500.0K
  • Match 313%£150.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%£188.2K
  • 6 other tiers30%£355.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

317times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 171 of each

9147times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,399 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 February 2022 — its closest relative in 2,399 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 August 2023): 24 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 57≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4529≈ 351 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,093≈ 891 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,586≈ 9.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,004≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,632≈ 37k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44,169≈ 44k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,004 winners, 30% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44,169£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,632£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,586£10.00
    Match 315,004£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,093£20.00
    Match 4529£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31£250
    Match 57£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000