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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 22 April 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 18
  3. 22
  4. 28
  5. 31
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,338 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-04-21All recent draws2023-04-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 18 22 28 31 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd31th
  • low31th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 300 of each

5292times
18316times
22313times
28303times
31

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.5Mto 161k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball34%£500.0K
  • Match 313%£199.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%£288.5K
  • 6 other tiers33%£492.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

317times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 167 of each

13187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,337 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (18, 22, 28, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 February 2013 — its closest relative in 2,337 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 April 2023): 5, 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 3.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51≈ 40 by chance£250
  • Match 4745≈ 526 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,556≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,054≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 319,972≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball57,699≈ 55k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball66,190≈ 66k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 745 winners, 42% more than the 526 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball66,190£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball57,699£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,054£10.00
    Match 319,972£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,556£20.00
    Match 4745£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball51£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000