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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 18 April 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 34
  5. 35
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,335 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-04-15All recent draws2023-04-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 25 28 34 35 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd64th
  • low9th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 299 of each

7309times
25283times
28302times
34316times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-18

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£976.2Kto 85k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball51%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%£149.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball12%£114.2K
  • 6 other tiers22%£212.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

266times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 167 of each

9141times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,334 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 25, 34, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 June 2016 — its closest relative in 2,334 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 April 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

129

The numbers add up to 129 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 34–35. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4239≈ 302 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball664≈ 767 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,392≈ 8.2k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,168≈ 10.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29,854≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,065≈ 38k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 664 winners, 13% fewer than the 767 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,065£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29,854£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,392£10.00
    Match 39,168£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball664£20.00
    Match 4239£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000