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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Set for Life · draw

Thursday, 16 December 2021

ResultSet for Life

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 7

Jackpot£3,600,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/10 · since Mar 2019draw 288 of 792 under them

← 2021-12-13All recent draws2021-12-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 25 28 39 40 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum70th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread64th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

433times
2527times
2829times
3938times
40

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.2Mto 159k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 316%£188.0K
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14%£165.2K
  • Match 256%£658.1K
  • 4 other tiers15%£173.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

31times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

729times

Every number was expected about that many times after 287 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (28, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 November 2021 — its closest relative in 287 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£3,600,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.1 by chance£120,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4226≈ 241 by chance£50.00
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,193≈ 1.1k by chance£30.00
  • Match 39,399≈ 9.9k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,523≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 2131,618≈ 132k by chance£5.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 16,523 winners, 13% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 2131,618£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,523£10.00
    Match 39,399£20.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,193£30.00
    Match 4226£50.00
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 51£120,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£3,600,000