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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 December 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 28
  5. 30
  6. 45
  7. 54

Jackpot£2,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 646 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-12-11All recent draws2021-12-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 17 28 30 45 + 5429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd48th
  • low94th
  • widest gap29th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

263times
1559times
1764times
2861times
30

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-15

  • Lines in play≈ 9.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£3.6Mto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 97lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 54.8%£169.8K
  • Match 419%£662.9K
  • Match 377%£2.7M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.21 by chance£2,000,000
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

59times
4571times

Every number was expected about that many times after 645 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 17, 28, 45) with the draw of 24 July 2019 — its closest relative in 645 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 26% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 December 2021): 15 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 60% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.2 by chance
no winners
  • Match 597≈ 64 by chance£1,750
  • Match 44,735≈ 4.3k by chance£140
  • Match 391,270≈ 97k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 907k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 907k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 391,270£30.00
    Match 44,735£140
    Match 597£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£2,000,000