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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 11 December 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 14
  4. 15
  5. 31
  6. 33
  7. 38

Jackpot£11,704,275

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 645 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-12-08All recent draws2021-12-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 14 15 31 33 + 3829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd77th
  • low77th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

657times
1361times
1464times
1558times
31

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 17Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£12.5Mto 177k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball17%£2.1M
  • Match 411%£1.3M
  • Match 369%£8.6M
  • 1 other tier3.1%£390.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.38 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
3357times

Every number was expected about that many times after 644 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 15, 31) with the draw of 25 September 2021 — its closest relative in 644 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 December 2021): 31 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

112

The numbers add up to 112 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14, 14–15. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 69% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£11,704,275
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 2.3 by chance£1,063,516
  • Match 5102≈ 119 by chance£3,825
  • Match 47,445≈ 7.9k by chance£179
  • Match 3169,164≈ 179k by chance£51.00
  • Match 20≈ 1.7M by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 1.7M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 3169,164£51.00
    Match 47,445£179
    Match 5102£3,825
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£1,063,516
    Match 60£11,704,275