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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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UK Lotto · draw

Saturday, 18 December 2021

ResultUK Lotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 23
  3. 27
  4. 45
  5. 51
  6. 54
  7. 59

Jackpot£4,082,078

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/59 + 1/59 · since Oct 2015draw 647 of 1,189 under them

← 2021-12-15All recent draws2021-12-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 23 27 45 51 54 + 5929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours29th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 66 of each

1259times
2363times
2778times
4572times
51

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-18

  • Lines in play≈ 9.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£3.5Mto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 52.5%£89.3K
  • Match 415%£536.6K
  • Match 382%£2.9M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.22 by chance£4,082,078
  2. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

70times
5474times

Every number was expected about that many times after 646 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (27, 51, 54) with the draw of 12 February 2020 — its closest relative in 646 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2021): 45 carried over. Chance says 49% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

212

The numbers add up to 212 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 180. No two numbers side by side. 43% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 78% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
0≈ 1.3 by chance
no winners
  • Match 551≈ 68 by chance£1,750
  • Match 43,833≈ 4.5k by chance£140
  • Match 396,157≈ 102k by chance£30.00
  • Match 20≈ 956k by chance£2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 0 winners, 100% fewer than the 956k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 20£2.00
    Match 396,157£30.00
    Match 43,833£140
    Match 551£1,750
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£0.00
    Match 60£4,082,078