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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 15 July 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244085
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 24
  4. 30
  5. 38
  6. 10

Jackpot€18,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,469 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-07-13All recent draws2024-07-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 10 24 30 38 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 24 30 38 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd1th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 252 of each

4250times
10243times
24253times
30243times
38

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 623k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang612%€368.4K
  • rang838%€1.1M
  • rang923%€688.5K
  • 4 other tiers27%€803.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

268times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

10252times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,468 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 30, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,468 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 July 2024): 24 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 27th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€18,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.0 by chance€195,095
  • rang343≈ 49 by chance€5,644
  • rang4458≈ 438 by chance€375
  • rang51,703≈ 2.1k by chance€60.20
  • rang619,597≈ 19k by chance€18.80
  • rang724,740≈ 29k by chance€11.60
  • rang8263,405≈ 263k by chance€4.30
  • rang9312,963€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,703 winners, 19% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€18,000,000
    rang20€195,095
    rang343€5,644
    rang4458€375
    rang51,703€60.20
    rang619,597€18.80
    rang724,740€11.60
    rang8263,405€4.30
    rang9312,963€2.20