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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 13 July 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244084
  1. 5
  2. 6
  3. 21
  4. 24
  5. 42
  6. 8

Jackpot€17,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,468 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-07-10All recent draws2024-07-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 6 21 24 42 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 6 21 24 42 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 252 of each

5246times
6257times
21238times
24252times
42

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-13

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.4Mto 1.0M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.34

Where the money went

  • rang612%€517.3K
  • rang835%€1.6M
  • rang928%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers25%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.34 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

237times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

8225times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,467 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 24, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 July 2024 — its closest relative in 2,467 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2024): 5 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€17,000,000
  • rang21≈ 3.0 by chance€273,768
  • rang382≈ 74 by chance€815
  • rang4649≈ 668 by chance€371
  • rang53,407≈ 3.2k by chance€42.20
  • rang629,228≈ 29k by chance€17.70
  • rang746,944≈ 45k by chance€8.50
  • rang8402,384≈ 402k by chance€3.90
  • rang9558,220€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 3,407 winners, 7% more than the 3.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€17,000,000
    rang21€273,768
    rang382€815
    rang4649€371
    rang53,407€42.20
    rang629,228€17.70
    rang746,944€8.50
    rang8402,384€3.90
    rang9558,220€2.20