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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 17 July 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244086
  1. 6
  2. 17
  3. 35
  4. 40
  5. 47
  6. 4

Jackpot€19,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,470 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-07-15All recent draws2024-07-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 17 35 40 47 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 17 35 40 47 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 252 of each

6258times
17248times
35260times
40255times
47

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.3Mto 688k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • rang612%€385.9K
  • rang835%€1.2M
  • rang927%€906.2K
  • 5 other tiers25%€839.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

242times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

4246times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,469 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 17, 35, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 April 2011 — its closest relative in 2,469 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 25% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 73th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€19,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.8 by chance€203,933
  • rang332≈ 43 by chance€1,555
  • rang4330≈ 388 by chance€544
  • rang51,655≈ 1.9k by chance€64.80
  • rang614,956≈ 17k by chance€25.80
  • rang725,740≈ 26k by chance€11.60
  • rang8233,308≈ 233k by chance€5.00
  • rang9411,904€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,655 winners, 11% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€19,000,000
    rang21€203,933
    rang332€1,555
    rang4330€544
    rang51,655€64.80
    rang614,956€25.80
    rang725,740€11.60
    rang8233,308€5.00
    rang9411,904€2.20