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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 10 July 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244083
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 11
  4. 16
  5. 39
  6. 9

Jackpot€16,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,467 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-07-08All recent draws2024-07-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 5 11 16 39 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 11 16 39 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum5th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread58th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 252 of each

3259times
5245times
11241times
16260times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 762k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • rang612%€375.8K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang927%€877.2K
  • 4 other tiers25%€820.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

223times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 247 of each

9253times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,466 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 11, 39) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 July 2023 — its closest relative in 2,466 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€16,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.3 by chance€199,621
  • rang352≈ 56 by chance€4,776
  • rang4522≈ 503 by chance€337
  • rang52,548≈ 2.4k by chance€41.20
  • rang623,485≈ 22k by chance€16.00
  • rang733,518≈ 34k by chance€8.70
  • rang8302,928≈ 303k by chance€3.80
  • rang9398,743€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 23,485 winners, 9% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€16,000,000
    rang20€199,621
    rang352€4,776
    rang4522€337
    rang52,548€41.20
    rang623,485€16.00
    rang733,518€8.70
    rang8302,928€3.80
    rang9398,743€2.20