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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 12 February 2024

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20244019
  1. 5
  2. 30
  3. 36
  4. 40
  5. 43
  6. 1

Jackpot€8,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,403 of 3,001 under them

← 2024-02-10All recent draws2024-02-14 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 30 36 40 43 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 30 36 40 43 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum83th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 245 of each

5240times
30236times
36241times
40250times
43

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-12

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.5Mto 434k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • rang613%€322.5K
  • rang839%€979.5K
  • rang921%€526.9K
  • 4 other tiers28%€703.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

242times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

1252times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,402 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 30, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 September 2023 — its closest relative in 2,402 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 February 2024): 40 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.3 by chance€170,807
  • rang316≈ 31 by chance€13,281
  • rang4184≈ 281 by chance€817
  • rang5905≈ 1.3k by chance€99.20
  • rang610,402≈ 12k by chance€31.00
  • rang714,504≈ 19k by chance€17.30
  • rang8168,873≈ 169k by chance€5.80
  • rang9239,522€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 905 winners, 32% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€8,000,000
    rang20€170,807
    rang316€13,281
    rang4184€817
    rang5905€99.20
    rang610,402€31.00
    rang714,504€17.30
    rang8168,873€5.80
    rang9239,522€2.20