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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 11 December 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233148
  1. 12
  2. 16
  3. 25
  4. 48
  5. 49
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 30% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,376 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-12-09All recent draws2023-12-13 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 16 25 48 49 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 16 25 48 49 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum79th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 242 of each

12236times
16250times
25225times
48233times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-12-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 448k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang11 winnerchance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang147%€2.0M
  • rang820%€854.6K
  • rang911%€487.1K
  • 6 other tiers21%€898.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang11≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

244times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

10242times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,375 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 16, 25, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 August 2012 — its closest relative in 2,375 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

150

The numbers add up to 150 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

49 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang24≈ 1.5 by chance€37,414
  • rang328≈ 36 by chance€1,305
  • rang4316≈ 323 by chance€417
  • rang51,230≈ 1.5k by chance€64.00
  • rang613,527≈ 14k by chance€20.90
  • rang717,704≈ 22k by chance€12.40
  • rang8194,221≈ 194k by chance€4.40
  • rang9221,392€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,230 winners, 20% fewer than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang11€2,000,000
    rang24€37,414
    rang328€1,305
    rang4316€417
    rang51,230€64.00
    rang613,527€20.90
    rang717,704€12.40
    rang8194,221€4.40
    rang9221,392€2.20