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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 25 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233128
  1. 12
  2. 22
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 35
  6. 10

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,356 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-23All recent draws2023-10-28 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official12 22 30 33 35 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 22 30 33 35 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum59th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap12th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

12233times
22268times
30227times
33245times
35

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-25

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 584k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang613%€368.8K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang922%€640.8K
  • 5 other tiers27%€803.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

252times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

10239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,355 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 33, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 June 2022 — its closest relative in 2,355 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 October 2023): 22 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

132

The numbers add up to 132 — the 58th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.9 by chance€195,342
  • rang326≈ 47 by chance€1,834
  • rang4313≈ 419 by chance€549
  • rang51,579≈ 2.0k by chance€65.00
  • rang616,686≈ 18k by chance€22.10
  • rang722,194≈ 28k by chance€12.90
  • rang8252,293≈ 252k by chance€4.50
  • rang9291,255€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,579 winners, 21% fewer than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang21€195,342
    rang326€1,834
    rang4313€549
    rang51,579€65.00
    rang616,686€22.10
    rang722,194€12.90
    rang8252,293€4.50
    rang9291,255€2.20