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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 23 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233127
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 22
  4. 26
  5. 40
  6. 4

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,355 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-21All recent draws2023-10-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 10 22 26 40 + 423 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 22 26 40 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

3248times
10233times
22267times
26251times
40

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 558k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang612%€287.8K
  • rang836%€867.3K
  • rang927%€643.9K
  • 5 other tiers26%€626.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

244times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

4236times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,354 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 22, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 April 2023 — its closest relative in 2,354 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 October 2023): 3 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.7 by chance€152,432
  • rang338≈ 41 by chance€979
  • rang4376≈ 369 by chance€357
  • rang51,853≈ 1.8k by chance€43.20
  • rang616,635≈ 16k by chance€17.30
  • rang724,414≈ 25k by chance€9.10
  • rang8222,386≈ 222k by chance€3.90
  • rang9292,676€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,853 winners, 5% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang21€152,432
    rang338€979
    rang4376€357
    rang51,853€43.20
    rang616,635€17.30
    rang724,414€9.10
    rang8222,386€3.90
    rang9292,676€2.20