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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 28 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233129
  1. 22
  2. 31
  3. 32
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 2

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,357 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-25All recent draws2023-10-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official22 31 32 34 38 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed22 31 32 34 38 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

22oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 22 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd9th
  • low9th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

22269times
31249times
32232times
34228times
38

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 790k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€516.7K
  • rang838%€1.6M
  • rang923%€989.7K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

258times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

2219times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,356 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 32, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 August 2022 — its closest relative in 2,356 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 October 2023): 22 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

157

The numbers add up to 157 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 56 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang23≈ 2.2 by chance€91,292
  • rang355≈ 53 by chance€1,215
  • rang4441≈ 478 by chance€547
  • rang51,939≈ 2.3k by chance€74.30
  • rang621,351≈ 21k by chance€24.20
  • rang728,033≈ 32k by chance€14.30
  • rang8287,897≈ 288k by chance€5.50
  • rang9449,857€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,939 winners, 15% fewer than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang23€91,292
    rang355€1,215
    rang4441€547
    rang51,939€74.30
    rang621,351€24.20
    rang728,033€14.30
    rang8287,897€5.50
    rang9449,857€2.20