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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 21 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233126
  1. 3
  2. 14
  3. 25
  4. 28
  5. 47
  6. 10

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,354 of 3,003 under them

← 2023-10-18All recent draws2023-10-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 14 25 28 47 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 14 25 28 47 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum40th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

3247times
14229times
25221times
28238times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.1Mto 831k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • rang612%€508.7K
  • rang838%€1.5M
  • rang923%€923.3K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

231times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

10238times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,353 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 25, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 May 2021 — its closest relative in 2,353 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 October 2023): 3 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang26≈ 2.6 by chance€44,849
  • rang363≈ 65 by chance€1,043
  • rang4716≈ 583 by chance€331
  • rang52,241≈ 2.8k by chance€63.10
  • rang625,693≈ 25k by chance€19.80
  • rang731,243≈ 39k by chance€12.60
  • rang8350,929≈ 351k by chance€4.40
  • rang9419,660€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 716 winners, 23% more than the 583 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang26€44,849
    rang363€1,043
    rang4716€331
    rang52,241€63.10
    rang625,693€19.80
    rang731,243€12.60
    rang8350,929€4.40
    rang9419,660€2.20