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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 18 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233125
  1. 3
  2. 13
  3. 22
  4. 46
  5. 49
  6. 1

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 49% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,353 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-16All recent draws2023-10-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 13 22 46 49 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 13 22 46 49 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum60th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

3246times
13268times
22266times
46238times
49

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-18

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 569k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang613%€368.5K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang920%€576.3K
  • 5 other tiers28%€805.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

242times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

1245times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,352 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 13, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 August 2023 — its closest relative in 2,352 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

133

The numbers add up to 133 — the 59th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.0 by chance€195,491
  • rang333≈ 49 by chance€1,446
  • rang4493≈ 437 by chance€349
  • rang51,614≈ 2.1k by chance€63.70
  • rang619,918≈ 19k by chance€18.50
  • rang722,085≈ 29k by chance€13.00
  • rang8263,293≈ 263k by chance€4.30
  • rang9261,934€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 22,085 winners, 25% fewer than the 29k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang21€195,491
    rang333€1,446
    rang4493€349
    rang51,614€63.70
    rang619,918€18.50
    rang722,085€13.00
    rang8263,293€4.30
    rang9261,934€2.20