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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 9 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233121
  1. 9
  2. 16
  3. 23
  4. 30
  5. 32
  6. 6

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,349 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-07All recent draws2023-10-11 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 16 23 30 32 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 16 23 30 32 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

49oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 240 of each

9244times
16246times
23247times
30226times
32

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 639k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang612%€356.4K
  • rang837%€1.1M
  • rang925%€734.7K
  • 5 other tiers26%€775.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

231times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

6215times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,348 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 23, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 August 2023 — its closest relative in 2,348 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2023): 9 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

32 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang25≈ 1.9 by chance€37,708
  • rang353≈ 47 by chance€868
  • rang4601≈ 426 by chance€276
  • rang52,150≈ 2.0k by chance€46.10
  • rang619,369≈ 18k by chance€18.40
  • rang726,274≈ 28k by chance€10.50
  • rang8256,256≈ 256k by chance€4.20
  • rang9333,936€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 26,274 winners, 8% fewer than the 28k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang25€37,708
    rang353€868
    rang4601€276
    rang52,150€46.10
    rang619,369€18.40
    rang726,274€10.50
    rang8256,256€4.20
    rang9333,936€2.20