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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 7 October 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233120
  1. 5
  2. 9
  3. 12
  4. 26
  5. 42
  6. 2

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 43% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,348 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-10-04All recent draws2023-10-09 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 9 12 26 42 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 9 12 26 42 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread62th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

5237times
9243times
12232times
26250times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-07

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 1.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • rang612%€582.2K
  • rang837%€1.8M
  • rang924%€1.1M
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.41 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

224times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

2218times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,347 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 26, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 April 2021 — its closest relative in 2,347 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 October 2023): 26 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang24≈ 3.7 by chance€77,217
  • rang3106≈ 90 by chance€711
  • rang41,103≈ 813 by chance€247
  • rang53,926≈ 3.9k by chance€41.30
  • rang642,189≈ 35k by chance€13.80
  • rang748,030≈ 54k by chance€9.40
  • rang8489,197≈ 489k by chance€3.60
  • rang9506,494€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 1,103 winners, 36% more than the 813 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€10,000,000
    rang24€77,217
    rang3106€711
    rang41,103€247
    rang53,926€41.30
    rang642,189€13.80
    rang748,030€9.40
    rang8489,197€3.60
    rang9506,494€2.20