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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 27 September 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233116
  1. 14
  2. 17
  3. 25
  4. 30
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,344 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-09-25All recent draws2023-09-30 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official14 17 25 30 44 + 323 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed14 17 25 30 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 September 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

70oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

14227times
17239times
25218times
30225times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-09-27

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 680k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • rang612%€341.5K
  • rang835%€1.0M
  • rang928%€836.8K
  • 5 other tiers25%€742.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

248times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 234 of each

3228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,343 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 25, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 November 2022 — its closest relative in 2,343 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (25 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

130

The numbers add up to 130 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.9 by chance€180,735
  • rang339≈ 46 by chance€1,131
  • rang4425≈ 415 by chance€374
  • rang52,091≈ 2.0k by chance€45.40
  • rang618,762≈ 18k by chance€18.20
  • rang729,008≈ 28k by chance€9.10
  • rang8249,549≈ 250k by chance€4.20
  • rang9380,372€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,091 winners, 6% more than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang21€180,735
    rang339€1,131
    rang4425€374
    rang52,091€45.40
    rang618,762€18.20
    rang729,008€9.10
    rang8249,549€4.20
    rang9380,372€2.20