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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 21 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233100
  1. 3
  2. 4
  3. 17
  4. 22
  5. 36
  6. 6

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,328 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-19All recent draws2023-08-23 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 4 17 22 36 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 4 17 22 36 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap35th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread45th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

3243times
4237times
17237times
22265times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 534k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang612%€292.9K
  • rang837%€903.0K
  • rang925%€615.4K
  • 5 other tiers26%€637.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

234times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

6212times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,327 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 4, 17, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 August 2011 — its closest relative in 2,327 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 August 2023): 4 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.6 by chance€155,220
  • rang342≈ 40 by chance€902
  • rang4321≈ 357 by chance€426
  • rang51,521≈ 1.7k by chance€53.60
  • rang614,943≈ 15k by chance€19.60
  • rang721,988≈ 24k by chance€10.30
  • rang8215,000≈ 215k by chance€4.20
  • rang9279,729€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,521 winners, 11% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang21€155,220
    rang342€902
    rang4321€426
    rang51,521€53.60
    rang614,943€19.60
    rang721,988€10.30
    rang8215,000€4.20
    rang9279,729€2.20