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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 23 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233101
  1. 8
  2. 25
  3. 29
  4. 34
  5. 46
  6. 7

Jackpot€7,000,000

The crowdHeld 39% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,329 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-21All recent draws2023-08-26 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official8 25 29 34 46 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed8 25 29 34 46 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

68oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 91% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 238 of each

8215times
25217times
29247times
34226times
46

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 772k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 4lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang610%€292.3K
  • rang830%€885.7K
  • rang938%€1.1M
  • 4 other tiers22%€635.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

235times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

7256times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,328 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 25, 29, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 January 2022 — its closest relative in 2,328 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 August 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€7,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.6 by chance€154,551
  • rang341≈ 39 by chance€4,690
  • rang4263≈ 350 by chance€517
  • rang51,912≈ 1.7k by chance€42.50
  • rang613,660≈ 15k by chance€21.40
  • rang731,765≈ 23k by chance€7.10
  • rang8210,884≈ 211k by chance€4.20
  • rang9513,645€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 31,765 winners, 36% more than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€7,000,000
    rang20€154,551
    rang341€4,690
    rang4263€517
    rang51,912€42.50
    rang613,660€21.40
    rang731,765€7.10
    rang8210,884€4.20
    rang9513,645€2.20