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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 19 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233099
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 11
  4. 27
  5. 32
  6. 10

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 42% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,327 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-08-16All recent draws2023-08-21 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 8 11 27 32 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 11 27 32 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

4236times
8214times
11231times
27239times
32

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 6.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 834k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • rang612%€480.5K
  • rang838%€1.5M
  • rang922%€862.5K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

229times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

10233times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,326 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 11, 27, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 May 2013 — its closest relative in 2,326 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 24% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 August 2023): 27 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang22≈ 2.8 by chance€127,033
  • rang361≈ 69 by chance€1,017
  • rang4783≈ 625 by chance€286
  • rang52,482≈ 3.0k by chance€53.80
  • rang630,413≈ 27k by chance€15.80
  • rang732,373≈ 42k by chance€11.50
  • rang8376,137≈ 376k by chance€3.90
  • rang9392,049€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 783 winners, 25% more than the 625 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang22€127,033
    rang361€1,017
    rang4783€286
    rang52,482€53.80
    rang630,413€15.80
    rang732,373€11.50
    rang8376,137€3.90
    rang9392,049€2.20