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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 2 August 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233092
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 18
  4. 23
  5. 32
  6. 9

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,320 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-31All recent draws2023-08-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official9 12 18 23 32 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 18 23 32 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

9240times
12231times
18223times
23244times
32

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.2Mto 761k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang612%€382.2K
  • rang836%€1.2M
  • rang926%€833.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€834.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

9241times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,319 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 12, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2019 — its closest relative in 2,319 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.4 by chance€40,505
  • rang383≈ 58 by chance€596
  • rang4621≈ 526 by chance€287
  • rang52,831≈ 2.5k by chance€37.60
  • rang626,003≈ 23k by chance€14.70
  • rang735,886≈ 35k by chance€8.30
  • rang8316,927≈ 317k by chance€3.70
  • rang9378,701€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 621 winners, 18% more than the 526 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang25€40,505
    rang383€596
    rang4621€287
    rang52,831€37.60
    rang626,003€14.70
    rang735,886€8.30
    rang8316,927€3.70
    rang9378,701€2.20