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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 31 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233091
  1. 1
  2. 4
  3. 22
  4. 33
  5. 47
  6. 1

Jackpot€10,000,000

The crowdHeld 21% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,319 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-29All recent draws2023-08-02 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official1 4 22 33 47 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 4 22 33 47 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap62th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 237 of each

1244times
4235times
22264times
33241times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 545k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang613%€353.1K
  • rang839%€1.1M
  • rang922%€612.6K
  • 5 other tiers27%€767.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

226times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

1239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,318 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 22, 33) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 June 2022 — its closest relative in 2,318 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2023): 1 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€10,000,000
  • rang22≈ 1.7 by chance€93,272
  • rang341≈ 42 by chance€1,111
  • rang4279≈ 376 by chance€589
  • rang51,626≈ 1.8k by chance€60.30
  • rang615,555≈ 16k by chance€22.70
  • rang722,171≈ 25k by chance€12.30
  • rang8226,638≈ 227k by chance€4.80
  • rang9278,461€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 22,171 winners, 12% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€10,000,000
    rang22€93,272
    rang341€1,111
    rang4279€589
    rang51,626€60.30
    rang615,555€22.70
    rang722,171€12.30
    rang8226,638€4.80
    rang9278,461€2.20