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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 17 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233085
  1. 6
  2. 9
  3. 20
  4. 41
  5. 47
  6. 9

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,313 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-15All recent draws2023-07-19 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official6 9 20 41 47 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed6 9 20 41 47 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

6236times
9239times
20230times
41275times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-17

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.4Mto 510k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • rang612%€276.5K
  • rang836%€845.4K
  • rang927%€629.1K
  • 5 other tiers26%€602.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

9239times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,312 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 41, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 December 2022 — its closest relative in 2,312 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

47 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€4,000,000
  • rang21≈ 1.4 by chance€146,588
  • rang344≈ 35 by chance€813
  • rang4249≈ 312 by chance€518
  • rang51,505≈ 1.5k by chance€51.20
  • rang612,127≈ 13k by chance€22.80
  • rang722,033≈ 21k by chance€9.70
  • rang8187,865≈ 188k by chance€4.50
  • rang9285,965€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 12,127 winners, 10% fewer than the 13k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€4,000,000
    rang21€146,588
    rang344€813
    rang4249€518
    rang51,505€51.20
    rang612,127€22.80
    rang722,033€9.70
    rang8187,865€4.50
    rang9285,965€2.20