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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 15 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233084
  1. 7
  2. 12
  3. 32
  4. 42
  5. 45
  6. 6

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,312 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-12All recent draws2023-07-17 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 12 32 42 45 + 623 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 12 32 42 45 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap73th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

7243times
12229times
32227times
42219times
45

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 5.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.8Mto 810k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang612%€449.0K
  • rang837%€1.4M
  • rang925%€951.3K
  • 5 other tiers26%€981.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

6211times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 12, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 February 2020 — its closest relative in 2,311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang25≈ 2.4 by chance€47,633
  • rang344≈ 59 by chance€1,321
  • rang4489≈ 531 by chance€429
  • rang52,256≈ 2.5k by chance€55.50
  • rang622,230≈ 23k by chance€20.20
  • rang732,464≈ 36k by chance€10.80
  • rang8319,727≈ 320k by chance€4.30
  • rang9432,423€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 2,256 winners, 11% fewer than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang25€47,633
    rang344€1,321
    rang4489€429
    rang52,256€55.50
    rang622,230€20.20
    rang732,464€10.80
    rang8319,727€4.30
    rang9432,423€2.20