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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 19 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233086
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 35
  5. 39
  6. 9

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,314 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-17All recent draws2023-07-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official5 11 19 35 39 + 923 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 19 35 39 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd99th
  • low65th
  • widest gap49th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread49th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

5235times
11228times
19212times
35248times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.9Mto 655k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang612%€344.1K
  • rang836%€1.0M
  • rang926%€755.5K
  • 4 other tiers26%€751.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

209times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

9240times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,313 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 35, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 January 2023 — its closest relative in 2,313 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

109

The numbers add up to 109 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€5,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.0 by chance€182,640
  • rang334≈ 48 by chance€6,683
  • rang4381≈ 436 by chance€422
  • rang51,967≈ 2.1k by chance€48.80
  • rang618,499≈ 19k by chance€18.60
  • rang728,730≈ 29k by chance€9.30
  • rang8262,440≈ 262k by chance€4.00
  • rang9343,399€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,967 winners, 6% fewer than the 2.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€5,000,000
    rang20€182,640
    rang334€6,683
    rang4381€422
    rang51,967€48.80
    rang618,499€18.60
    rang728,730€9.30
    rang8262,440€4.00
    rang9343,399€2.20