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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Wednesday, 12 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233083
  1. 18
  2. 26
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 34
  6. 8

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,311 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-10All recent draws2023-07-15 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official18 26 27 31 34 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed18 26 27 31 34 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum64th
  • odd32th
  • low9th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

18220times
26247times
27236times
31242times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-12

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 609k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • rang612%€321.7K
  • rang836%€984.6K
  • rang928%€763.5K
  • 4 other tiers25%€700.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

225times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

8207times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,310 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 27, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 December 2022 — its closest relative in 2,310 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

136

The numbers add up to 136 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.7 by chance€170,337
  • rang331≈ 40 by chance€6,836
  • rang4314≈ 363 by chance€478
  • rang51,826≈ 1.7k by chance€49.00
  • rang615,031≈ 16k by chance€21.40
  • rang725,685≈ 24k by chance€9.70
  • rang8218,806≈ 219k by chance€4.50
  • rang9347,030€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 25,685 winners, 6% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang20€170,337
    rang331€6,836
    rang4314€478
    rang51,826€49.00
    rang615,031€21.40
    rang725,685€9.70
    rang8218,806€4.50
    rang9347,030€2.20