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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 10 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233082
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 14
  5. 44
  6. 2

Jackpot€666,667

The crowdHeld 40% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,310 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-08All recent draws2023-07-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 8 10 14 44 + 223 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 10 14 44 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 236 of each

3240times
8213times
10229times
14224times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 3.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.3Mto 494k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 7lines took a prize
  • rang13 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang147%€2.0M
  • rang820%€860.3K
  • rang912%€513.9K
  • 5 other tiers21%€891.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. rang13≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

244times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

2216times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,309 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 14, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 June 2021 — its closest relative in 2,309 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2023): 10 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€666,667
  • rang20≈ 1.7 by chance€148,387
  • rang344≈ 41 by chance€4,196
  • rang4441≈ 366 by chance€296
  • rang51,554≈ 1.8k by chance€50.20
  • rang617,194≈ 16k by chance€16.30
  • rang720,355≈ 25k by chance€10.70
  • rang8220,594≈ 221k by chance€3.90
  • rang9233,571€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 20,355 winners, 17% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang13€666,667
    rang20€148,387
    rang344€4,196
    rang4441€296
    rang51,554€50.20
    rang617,194€16.30
    rang720,355€10.70
    rang8220,594€3.90
    rang9233,571€2.20