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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 3 July 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233079
  1. 2
  2. 8
  3. 23
  4. 35
  5. 42
  6. 7

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 32% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,307 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-07-01All recent draws2023-07-05 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 8 23 35 42 + 723 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 8 23 35 42 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 87% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 235 of each

2227times
8211times
23243times
35247times
42

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-03

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.0Mto 780k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • rang610%€299.6K
  • rang831%€909.8K
  • rang937%€1.1M
  • 4 other tiers22%€653.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.19 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

7252times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,306 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 23, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 December 2022 — its closest relative in 2,306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€11,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.7 by chance€158,787
  • rang365≈ 42 by chance€3,039
  • rang4376≈ 378 by chance€372
  • rang52,370≈ 1.8k by chance€35.20
  • rang616,280≈ 16k by chance€18.40
  • rang734,702≈ 25k by chance€6.70
  • rang8227,459≈ 227k by chance€4.00
  • rang9498,464€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 34,702 winners, 37% more than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€11,000,000
    rang20€158,787
    rang365€3,039
    rang4376€372
    rang52,370€35.20
    rang616,280€18.40
    rang734,702€6.70
    rang8227,459€4.00
    rang9498,464€2.20