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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Monday, 8 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233055
  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 39
  4. 43
  5. 47
  6. 5

Jackpot€3,000,000

The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,283 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-05-06All recent draws2023-05-10 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official4 16 39 43 47 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed4 16 39 43 47 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 43% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread88th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

4233times
16241times
39206times
43234times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-08

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.2Mto 481k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • rang611%€235.0K
  • rang833%€718.5K
  • rang932%€689.3K
  • 4 other tiers24%€512.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

223times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

5247times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,282 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 43, 47) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 June 2022 — its closest relative in 2,282 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 May 2023): 47 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€3,000,000
  • rang20≈ 1.1 by chance€124,407
  • rang316≈ 26 by chance€9,673
  • rang4204≈ 234 by chance€537
  • rang51,046≈ 1.1k by chance€62.50
  • rang68,835≈ 10k by chance€26.60
  • rang716,956≈ 16k by chance€10.80
  • rang8140,880≈ 141k by chance€5.10
  • rang9313,299€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 8,835 winners, 12% fewer than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€3,000,000
    rang20€124,407
    rang316€9,673
    rang4204€537
    rang51,046€62.50
    rang68,835€26.60
    rang716,956€10.80
    rang8140,880€5.10
    rang9313,299€2.20