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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 6 May 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233054
  1. 2
  2. 25
  3. 30
  4. 42
  5. 47
  6. 10

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,282 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-05-03All recent draws2023-05-08 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official2 25 30 42 47 + 1023 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 25 30 42 47 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 233 of each

2223times
25212times
30220times
42214times
47

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-06

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 717k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 6lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.24

Where the money went

  • rang612%€485.3K
  • rang838%€1.5M
  • rang922%€856.2K
  • 5 other tiers27%€1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.24 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

222times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

10228times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,281 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 25, 47) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 December 2022 — its closest relative in 2,281 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 May 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.1 by chance€257,226
  • rang331≈ 52 by chance€2,025
  • rang4364≈ 469 by chance€622
  • rang51,616≈ 2.2k by chance€83.70
  • rang617,841≈ 20k by chance€27.20
  • rang725,247≈ 31k by chance€15.00
  • rang8282,298≈ 282k by chance€5.30
  • rang9389,182€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang5 — 1,616 winners, 28% fewer than the 2.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€257,226
    rang331€2,025
    rang4364€622
    rang51,616€83.70
    rang617,841€27.20
    rang725,247€15.00
    rang8282,298€5.30
    rang9389,182€2.20