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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 29 April 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233051
  1. 3
  2. 22
  3. 36
  4. 40
  5. 48
  6. 5

Jackpot€2,000,000

The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,279 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-04-26All recent draws2023-05-01 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official3 22 36 40 48 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 22 36 40 48 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 April 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum78th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread94th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 232 of each

3235times
22261times
36229times
40233times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-04-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€3.9Mto 864k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • rang611%€427.7K
  • rang834%€1.3M
  • rang931%€1.2M
  • 5 other tiers24%€931.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

224times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

5246times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,278 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 36, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 January 2023 — its closest relative in 2,278 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 April 2023): 3 carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€2,000,000
  • rang21≈ 2.0 by chance€226,423
  • rang365≈ 49 by chance€850
  • rang4394≈ 443 by chance€506
  • rang52,162≈ 2.1k by chance€55.00
  • rang617,315≈ 19k by chance€24.70
  • rang732,199≈ 30k by chance€10.30
  • rang8266,433≈ 266k by chance€4.90
  • rang9545,005€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 17,315 winners, 9% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€2,000,000
    rang21€226,423
    rang365€850
    rang4394€506
    rang52,162€55.00
    rang617,315€24.70
    rang732,199€10.30
    rang8266,433€4.90
    rang9545,005€2.20