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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Loto · draw

Saturday, 18 March 2023

ResultLoto

VerifiedDraw #20233033
  1. 7
  2. 8
  3. 31
  4. 32
  5. 48
  6. 5

Jackpot€6,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/49 + 1/10 · since Oct 2008draw 2,261 of 3,001 under them

← 2023-03-15All recent draws2023-03-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources2 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Secondary 3official7 8 31 32 48 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:48 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed7 8 31 32 48 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum51th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours98th
  • spread80th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

7237times
8208times
31238times
32222times
48

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-18

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.2Mto 967k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 5lines took a prize
  • rang10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • rang611%€464.4K
  • rang834%€1.4M
  • rang931%€1.3M
  • 4 other tiers24%€1.0M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. rang10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

220times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 226 of each

5244times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,260 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (7, 8, 32, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 November 2015 — its closest relative in 2,260 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 23% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 March 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

126

The numbers add up to 126 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8, 31–32. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€6,000,000
  • rang20≈ 2.5 by chance€245,525
  • rang346≈ 60 by chance€6,640
  • rang4329≈ 541 by chance€657
  • rang52,223≈ 2.6k by chance€58.10
  • rang619,191≈ 23k by chance€24.20
  • rang739,891≈ 36k by chance€9.00
  • rang8325,562≈ 326k by chance€4.30
  • rang9580,239€2.20
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang4 — 329 winners, 39% fewer than the 541 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    rang10€6,000,000
    rang20€245,525
    rang346€6,640
    rang4329€657
    rang52,223€58.10
    rang619,191€24.20
    rang739,891€9.00
    rang8325,562€4.30
    rang9580,239€2.20